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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.71vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+2.80vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+2.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-0.21vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50+0.75vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14+1.32vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+4.84vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-0.19vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-2.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-1.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-6.58vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.59vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-2.46vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.22vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.69-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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14.84Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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10.81Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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15.59SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 10.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| Grace Howie | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 21.1% | 41.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 14.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.