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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+8.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.15vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.00vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.29vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.48vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-0.29vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+5.77vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76+2.01vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-2.47vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-2.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-2.87vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-4.30vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.41vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-8.80vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.26-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.52College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.77Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.53Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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15.59SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 27.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 42.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.