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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+9.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.01vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+2.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+4.78vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.52vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.46+0.01vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+4.80vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.26+1.74vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-2.82vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.36vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-6.10vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.62-7.57vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-9.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.91Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.74College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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14.8Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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13.74University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.9Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 28.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 39.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.