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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+6.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.84vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+2.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+0.87vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.33vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+1.71vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-0.81vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-0.54vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85+2.93vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-5.08vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-5.87vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-3.26vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.46-6.90vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-3.38vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.7College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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14.93Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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15.46SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 31.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 14.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 22.3% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.