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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.65vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.69vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+1.84vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+1.89vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.40vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+0.95vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-2.52vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.04vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.46vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.02-7.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-3.30vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-2.46vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.46-7.84vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College0.85-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.65College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.89Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.24Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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15.46SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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14.56Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 43.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.