Race 10A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.8% 23.1% 16.9% 12.2% 8.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Hemingway 6.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 11.5% 9.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 11.2% 11.6% 11.5% 10.2% 8.3% 8.0% 4.9% 2.1% 1.2%
Joseph Bonacci 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.6% 9.9% 9.5% 10.4% 12.4% 10.9% 7.9% 5.5% 2.9%
Elizabeth Frost 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.4% 11.3% 11.5% 8.9% 8.3% 5.3% 4.0% 1.4%
Rem Johannknecht 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 8.9% 13.5% 18.0% 30.1%
Matias Martin 13.8% 13.1% 13.6% 13.2% 11.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.9% 4.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Oscar Gilroy 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 10.9% 12.2% 19.3% 19.9%
Jack Hammett 3.9% 4.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 11.5% 10.8% 13.2% 11.1% 7.6%
William Mullray 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.8% 9.7% 14.3% 16.4% 22.7%
Berkley Yiu 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 8.4% 11.2% 11.7% 13.4% 13.6% 10.3%
James Owen 11.8% 12.0% 14.1% 11.8% 10.9% 11.1% 8.8% 7.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.