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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+5.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+7.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+6.32vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.83vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+2.96vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.25vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-0.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-2.96vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.21vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.38+0.53vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-3.52vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-2.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-2.24vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.25-3.16vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.51-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.96Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.7George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.53Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Morin | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Haig | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Camille White | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.