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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.64vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+7.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17+4.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-0.03vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+4.79vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.44+5.98vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-0.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.38+1.37vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-0.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.95vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-3.58vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-2.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-8.31vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-4.33vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.47College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.79Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 17.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| Cailin Considine | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 40.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Camille White | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Morin | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.