← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.11+7.53vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.65+4.63vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.00vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.81vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.17+3.31vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.73+4.33vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.89-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.32+3.38vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.35-1.10vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.38-5.69vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.99vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.25-0.15vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.96-3.66vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-4.54vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.33-3.41vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University1.38-4.57vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.53Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.0U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
-
8.31College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
-
10.33Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
5.83Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
11.38Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.9George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
4.31Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.85Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
9.34Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
-
9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.59Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.43Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
-
14.27University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Haig | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.5% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 11.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
| Camille White | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.