← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.17+7.29vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.38+2.26vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.07vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.35+3.86vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+4.13vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.89+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.65-0.28vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.25+3.68vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.11-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.26vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University1.38+0.54vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.51-1.02vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.95vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.32-2.21vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.73-4.86vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University1.96-6.64vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.29College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
-
4.26Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.86George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
6.72Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.68Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
8.9Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
-
11.54Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
-
10.98Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.79Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.14Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.36Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
-
14.34University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.8% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Haig | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camille White | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 9.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.