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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+7.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+6.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+2.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.29vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.96+1.10vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+0.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.26vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.98vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-1.20vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.25-1.94vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.38-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-1.66vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.18Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.06Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.39Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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11.02Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Haig | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Camille White | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 40.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.