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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Banholzer 37.5% 29.4% 15.9% 9.5% 3.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abby Featherstone 16.3% 19.4% 17.5% 16.9% 11.8% 8.8% 6.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danny Levy 5.6% 3.8% 6.3% 9.2% 11.5% 11.3% 13.4% 15.2% 12.5% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Solvig Sayre 8.3% 13.0% 14.4% 14.2% 14.7% 13.3% 9.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Cassandra Yankala 13.6% 13.4% 18.4% 16.6% 14.5% 10.3% 6.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Hodges 1.8% 1.9% 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 7.1% 9.0% 12.5% 15.8% 17.3% 13.0% 7.6%
Morgan O'Neil 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 9.6% 12.8% 11.4% 15.7% 12.9% 9.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.2%
Ben Jassin 7.0% 8.3% 9.4% 10.1% 13.8% 14.7% 13.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.8%
Michael Todd 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 5.5% 6.5% 10.7% 12.6% 17.7% 18.9% 18.2%
Gregory Bachman 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 8.2% 12.9% 16.7% 19.7% 20.5%
Oliver Evans 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 4.5% 4.0% 6.3% 9.9% 12.8% 20.3% 36.0%
Ervin Grove 1.0% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 5.6% 8.8% 9.7% 13.5% 16.8% 19.3% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.