Race 11A

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.1% 21.2% 17.4% 12.9% 9.4% 4.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 10.0% 9.4% 11.6% 10.5% 10.2% 11.1% 10.8% 9.8% 6.5% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1%
James Owen 12.5% 12.6% 12.7% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 9.6% 7.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Joseph Bonacci 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 10.9% 10.3% 8.5% 6.2% 2.9%
Elizabeth Frost 8.9% 10.8% 8.6% 10.2% 11.7% 11.3% 10.0% 10.2% 8.5% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Oscar Gilroy 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 11.2% 13.0% 18.1% 21.5%
Rem Johannknecht 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 9.3% 12.4% 18.1% 29.8%
Jack Hammett 4.0% 5.7% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 10.2% 12.3% 12.4% 11.6% 8.6%
Matias Martin 13.0% 13.6% 14.3% 13.3% 11.2% 10.4% 9.7% 7.1% 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Noah Hemingway 6.5% 7.4% 7.4% 9.1% 9.6% 10.2% 11.2% 10.9% 9.5% 8.2% 6.7% 3.2%
Berkley Yiu 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 7.4% 7.0% 8.1% 8.9% 11.8% 12.7% 15.2% 10.7%
William Mullray 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.6% 11.5% 14.4% 15.2% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.