Race 12A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matias Martin 14.5% 12.3% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 9.8% 9.8% 8.3% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Everett Botwinick 26.8% 22.0% 17.7% 12.3% 8.7% 5.7% 3.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
James Owen 10.9% 13.1% 13.2% 11.9% 11.9% 9.9% 9.2% 9.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Jack Hammett 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 6.2% 7.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.8% 12.0% 12.8% 10.7% 7.4%
Joseph Bonacci 6.2% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.2%
Elizabeth Frost 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 11.1% 11.7% 10.4% 8.8% 8.2% 6.5% 3.5% 0.9%
Rem Johannknecht 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 8.5% 11.6% 18.1% 32.2%
Oscar Gilroy 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 4.5% 4.8% 7.0% 6.8% 7.8% 10.0% 12.7% 17.8% 20.4%
William Mullray 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 9.3% 14.2% 18.1% 22.2%
Berkley Yiu 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.6% 7.2% 8.4% 8.3% 11.5% 12.3% 13.1% 10.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 9.0% 10.2% 9.6% 12.0% 10.8% 10.0% 11.3% 10.1% 7.7% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Noah Hemingway 6.2% 7.2% 9.1% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2% 8.5% 7.3% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.