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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+1.54vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+3.29vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+0.61vs Predicted
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5Rollins College3.04-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.91+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+2.68vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.28-2.51vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.64+0.16vs Predicted
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10Auburn University1.12-1.83vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.59-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee0.80-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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3.54University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.29Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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4.61Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.02Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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9.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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9.16Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.17Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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9.43Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 37.8% | 29.0% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 16.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Danny Levy | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 31.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Todd | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Gregory Bachman | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 23.4% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.