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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.25vs Predicted
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2Rollins College3.04+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.28+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29-0.46vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+1.30vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.91-0.72vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.64+1.13vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.59+0.24vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-5.40vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee0.80-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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4.02Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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3.54University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.3Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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8.21Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.13Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.24Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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9.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 39.7% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 11.7% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 16.0% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Danny Levy | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Todd | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| Gregory Bachman | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.0% |
| Oliver Evans | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.