Race 13A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.2% 21.1% 16.4% 13.2% 7.6% 6.5% 3.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Hammett 4.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 8.1% 7.4% 8.6% 10.6% 12.5% 12.8% 11.2% 7.9%
Matias Martin 13.7% 14.5% 13.1% 14.3% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 6.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5%
Elizabeth Frost 8.5% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.3% 11.7% 9.9% 8.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4%
Nathaniel Hartwell 10.8% 9.9% 10.6% 10.1% 11.2% 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 5.5% 2.8% 0.8%
James Owen 12.3% 11.9% 11.2% 13.2% 10.4% 11.5% 8.7% 8.1% 6.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Joseph Bonacci 6.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 10.7% 10.8% 10.9% 9.9% 9.4% 8.8% 6.5% 2.5%
Rem Johannknecht 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.7% 12.5% 18.2% 30.3%
Noah Hemingway 7.0% 7.3% 8.5% 7.9% 8.6% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 9.4% 5.8% 3.1%
Oscar Gilroy 1.8% 3.1% 4.2% 3.4% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 11.3% 12.5% 18.0% 21.0%
William Mullray 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 7.0% 7.2% 9.9% 13.6% 17.8% 21.8%
Berkley Yiu 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 11.7% 12.2% 13.5% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.