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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia-0.73+8.39vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia-0.49+6.50vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.92+6.97vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.40+3.68vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.79-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-1.20+1.82vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.08+0.54vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.01-3.51vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26-5.33vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.53-9.56vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.74-11.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.5University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.97University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.54Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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2.98University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Futcher | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Goguen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Austin Hauter | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 25.7% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Erik Skeel | 21.4% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 26.8% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.