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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia-0.92+7.82vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+3.89vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01+2.45vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.49+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.40+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.79-2.87vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.26-2.33vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.08+0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.62-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.73-3.56vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.53-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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9.82University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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7.89University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.9University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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10.56Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.44University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 11.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% |
| Karl Skeel | 27.9% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Austin Hauter | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 21.8% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 25.4% |
| Andrew Futcher | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 23.5% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.