← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.74+1.84vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia-0.73+6.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.53+0.23vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia-0.92+5.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.49+3.62vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.01+1.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.40+1.00vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-0.62+0.82vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.26-2.66vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria-1.20+0.64vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.08-0.68vs Predicted
-
12University of British Columbia-0.49-3.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington-0.16-5.53vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University1.03-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
-
8.99University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
-
3.23University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
-
9.81University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
-
7.2Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.0University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.34Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
10.64University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
-
10.32Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.16Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 29.0% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Futcher | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 23.4% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
| Ian Wolcott | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 24.7% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.