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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia-0.73+6.94vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.92+5.82vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.20+5.59vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26+0.42vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.49-0.42vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.08+0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.62-2.01vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.01-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.49-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.40-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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8.94University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.23University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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9.82University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.42Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.09Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.35Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.46University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 29.8% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Futcher | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.6% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.1% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 25.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.