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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+6.31vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.73+6.39vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.92+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.79-2.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.01-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.26-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.62-1.77vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.08-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-2.34vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.03-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.39University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.08University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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10.08University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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7.32Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.89University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.46Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 21.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Futcher | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% |
| Karl Skeel | 24.8% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Austin Hauter | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 21.9% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.