Race 14A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.6% 23.0% 17.5% 11.7% 8.6% 5.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
James Owen 10.7% 12.4% 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 10.6% 11.2% 8.7% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Nathaniel Hartwell 9.6% 9.5% 10.3% 10.8% 12.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.2% 6.2% 6.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Elizabeth Frost 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.1% 11.2% 10.2% 7.8% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4%
Joseph Bonacci 7.4% 8.5% 7.3% 9.8% 8.9% 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.6% 5.7% 2.5%
Rem Johannknecht 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 2.6% 3.9% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 12.1% 18.1% 32.1%
Noah Hemingway 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 11.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.7%
Matias Martin 13.9% 13.7% 14.7% 13.0% 11.4% 10.8% 7.0% 6.0% 5.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Jack Hammett 3.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.3% 10.9% 12.6% 13.0% 12.2% 8.3%
Oscar Gilroy 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 7.8% 10.8% 12.3% 16.6% 20.8%
Berkley Yiu 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 11.3% 14.3% 14.1% 10.9%
William Mullray 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 11.8% 12.3% 18.0% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.