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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74-1.09vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.73+4.27vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26+0.42vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.40+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.20+0.63vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.08-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.62-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.49-4.58vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.92-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.14Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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9.27University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.42Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.79Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.56University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.33Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.63University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 22.7% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Karl Skeel | 27.6% | 23.0% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Futcher | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 25.8% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 21.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.