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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+5.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.73+4.28vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.20+3.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.26-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.49-0.46vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.08+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.62-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.49-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.92-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.74-11.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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8.23University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.1Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.28University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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8.54University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.31Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.64University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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2.82University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 13.1% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.1% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Futcher | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 21.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 21.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Ian Wolcott | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Karl Skeel | 30.4% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.