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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+3.34vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.01+1.12vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.37-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.41+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.10-1.42vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.71-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.38-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.56-2.95vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.41-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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7.12University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.36University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.18Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Hughes | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Louise King | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Brown | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| John Kauffman | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 21.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.2% |
| Colin Bishop | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.