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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.53vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.37+3.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.01+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.27+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.41+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.10-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.56-0.03vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.71-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.38-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.41-3.45vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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6.13Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.09University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.18Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.55University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Sharp | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| Marijke Jorna | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Louise King | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| John Kauffman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 21.8% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
| Benjamin Brown | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.