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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.01+4.25vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.38+3.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.56+1.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.71+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.41-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.10-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.41-2.78vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.27-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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7.25University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.23Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.51University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Louise King | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Clark | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 20.7% |
| Benjamin Brown | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| John Kauffman | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.4% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.