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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.49vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+5.47vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.27+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.95-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia1.01-1.76vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.37-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.01-0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.41-1.65vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.71-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.56-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.10-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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4.24University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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6.0Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.14University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.35University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.06Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marijke Jorna | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Colin Bishop | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Connor Hughes | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Louise King | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
| Benjamin Brown | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Tor Gammelin | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
| John Kauffman | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.