← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia1.01+3.31vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.95+2.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-0.10+4.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.27+4.04vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia-0.41+3.31vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.01+1.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.41+1.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-0.38+0.33vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria-0.56-0.06vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.71-0.84vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.46-5.39vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.37-5.74vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.93-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
-
4.45University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
7.53University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
-
7.17University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
-
8.33University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.94University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
-
9.16Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
5.61Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
-
6.26Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.58University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 16.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Kauffman | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Benjamin Brown | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% |
| Louise King | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 20.9% |
| Marijke Jorna | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Chandler Sharp | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.