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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.52vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.37+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.10+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia1.01-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.27+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.56+1.74vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.41+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-0.58vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.71-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.41-2.85vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.46-6.00vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.01-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.15Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.24University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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7.88University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.22Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.15University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.0Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.37University of British Columbia-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| John Kauffman | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 22.7% |
| Benjamin Brown | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Louise King | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.