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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia-0.41+7.47vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+5.46vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.01+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.10-0.52vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.71+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.38-1.74vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.37-5.13vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia1.01-7.58vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.93-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.17University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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9.32Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.42University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Brown | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Bishop | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Marijke Jorna | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.8% |
| Louise King | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| John Kauffman | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 23.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 15.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.