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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.41+5.46vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.86vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.41+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.10+0.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.71+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.56-1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.27-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.01-4.58vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia1.01-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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8.46University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.86Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.96Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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9.2Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.42University of British Columbia-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.35University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 15.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Brown | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| John Kauffman | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 20.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Louise King | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 15.1% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.