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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Banholzer 40.8% 27.7% 15.3% 9.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Noble 9.0% 13.1% 14.9% 14.8% 15.8% 11.7% 9.0% 5.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Jassin 8.0% 7.6% 10.2% 11.3% 13.5% 12.5% 14.5% 10.8% 7.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Cassandra Yankala 13.5% 16.3% 18.3% 16.0% 14.3% 9.3% 5.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Danny Levy 4.4% 5.7% 7.9% 9.4% 10.0% 13.3% 13.1% 12.9% 9.6% 8.9% 3.8% 1.0%
Morgan O'Neil 4.9% 5.7% 8.7% 9.1% 11.3% 12.6% 13.3% 11.8% 12.0% 6.2% 3.8% 0.6%
Samuel Hodges 2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 5.2% 8.8% 10.0% 11.3% 14.2% 14.1% 13.7% 8.3%
Solvig Sayre 11.7% 14.1% 13.2% 16.2% 12.4% 11.6% 9.6% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Oliver Evans 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 5.1% 7.1% 10.8% 14.1% 22.3% 29.6%
Ervin Grove 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 7.4% 10.9% 13.3% 17.1% 18.3% 13.8%
Gregory Bachman 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 9.0% 12.5% 16.2% 17.5% 24.6%
Michael Todd 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 10.4% 10.8% 17.2% 18.5% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.