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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.41+3.94vs Predicted
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2-0.08+4.18vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+5.98vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.52+3.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.01-0.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-2.64vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.26-1.55vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.08-2.97vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-3.03vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.43-6.33vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.79-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94University of Texas0.4113.0%1st Place
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6.18-0.088.0%1st Place
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8.98Williams College-0.902.8%1st Place
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7.01SUNY Maritime College-0.526.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.934.4%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-0.019.0%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6016.2%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University-0.268.0%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University-0.088.2%1st Place
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6.97Florida Institute of Technology-0.486.2%1st Place
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4.67Columbia University0.4314.1%1st Place
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8.14Washington College-0.794.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 29.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Aubrey Walton | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sam Carson | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Upton | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.