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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.70+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.28+2.40vs Predicted
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4Rollins College3.04-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.91+1.31vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+0.17vs Predicted
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7Auburn University1.12+0.98vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.73-3.59vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.80-1.24vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.59-1.63vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.64-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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3.88Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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7.98Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.41Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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9.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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9.37Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.22Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 40.8% | 27.7% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 13.5% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danny Levy | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Evans | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 29.6% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| Gregory Bachman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 24.6% |
| Michael Todd | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.