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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.13vs Predicted
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2Rollins College3.04+1.85vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.70+0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73-0.47vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.64+3.19vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.59+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.28-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.91-2.86vs Predicted
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10Auburn University1.12-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee0.80-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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3.85Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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4.53Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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9.19Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.1Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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8.1Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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9.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 42.2% | 28.9% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 12.9% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Hillary Noble | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Todd | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 19.9% |
| Gregory Bachman | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Danny Levy | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Ervin Grove | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| Oliver Evans | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.