← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Texas0.41+3.97vs Predicted
-
2-0.08+4.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.01+2.77vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.52+3.13vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University0.43-0.28vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.09vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University-0.26-0.44vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.08-2.05vs Predicted
-
9Williams College-0.90-0.16vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-5.62vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93-2.48vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.79-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.97University of Texas0.4113.4%1st Place
-
6.12-0.088.6%1st Place
-
5.77University of Michigan-0.018.6%1st Place
-
7.13SUNY Maritime College-0.525.9%1st Place
-
4.72Columbia University0.4314.7%1st Place
-
7.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.485.2%1st Place
-
6.56Fordham University-0.267.6%1st Place
-
5.95Princeton University-0.088.2%1st Place
-
8.84Williams College-0.903.0%1st Place
-
4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6015.7%1st Place
-
8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.933.2%1st Place
-
7.96Washington College-0.795.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Samuel Stephens | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Robert Upton | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 27.5% |
| Sam Carson | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 22.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.