← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.17+3.84vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.71+3.82vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.15+4.62vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.97+1.70vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.85+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University0.49+4.90vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.31vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.01+0.79vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.84-3.20vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.24+1.50vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.22-2.03vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.75vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.13vs Predicted
-
14Boston College-0.06-1.88vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.40vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-5.25vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-0.48-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.84Harvard University2.1715.3%1st Place
-
5.82Dartmouth College1.7112.2%1st Place
-
7.62Tufts University1.157.0%1st Place
-
5.7Roger Williams University1.9710.0%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University1.858.9%1st Place
-
10.9Roger Williams University0.492.9%1st Place
-
9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.5%1st Place
-
8.79Tufts University1.015.4%1st Place
-
5.8Bowdoin College1.8410.7%1st Place
-
11.5University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
-
8.97Northeastern University1.223.7%1st Place
-
10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.9%1st Place
-
7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.5%1st Place
-
12.12Boston College-0.062.0%1st Place
-
12.6University of Rhode Island-0.201.3%1st Place
-
10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.3%1st Place
-
13.35Boston University-0.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.