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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+3.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.28+2.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05-1.74vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.20+1.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.07+0.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut2.51-2.40vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-5.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-6.72vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.74-1.81vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-2.53vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.39-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
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7.49Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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4.6Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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4.65Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.19Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 9.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 24.7% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.6% |
| Robert Keller | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 26.1% | 35.4% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 22.8% | 44.0% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 21.2% | 23.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.