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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.11vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+5.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+4.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.86vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+2.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.05vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.21+0.75vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-1.40vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-1.13vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.43vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-2.11vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.99vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-7.53vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.65University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.87Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.