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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.07vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+7.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.09vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20+4.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.21+3.47vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.72vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.45vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-5.74vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-0.94vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-4.34vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.46-6.49vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-5.66vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.51Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Riley Legault | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.