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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.77vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.07vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.73vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.05vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+1.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-0.22vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-2.36vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.21-3.84vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.03-4.75vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-8.42vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.59Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.78University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.16College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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12.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.