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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.23vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+6.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.69vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+4.39vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.52vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.21+2.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+3.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+1.02vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16-0.95vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-4.75vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.20-3.78vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.95vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.03-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-1.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.39Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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12.33Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.02Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.25Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 45.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.