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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.41+4.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+2.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93+5.61vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+2.87vs Predicted
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5Fordham University-0.26+1.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.43-1.34vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.01-2.16vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.08-3.01vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.79vs Predicted
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11-0.08-5.00vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.79-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Texas0.4111.9%1st Place
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4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6016.7%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.932.7%1st Place
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6.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.486.9%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University-0.267.6%1st Place
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4.66Columbia University0.4315.5%1st Place
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8.85Williams College-0.903.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Michigan-0.018.2%1st Place
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5.99Princeton University-0.088.7%1st Place
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7.21SUNY Maritime College-0.525.8%1st Place
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6.0-0.088.5%1st Place
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8.03Washington College-0.794.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Reese Zebrowski | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Sam Carson | 16.7% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Aubrey Walton | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
Sofia Scarpa | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
Robert Upton | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
Eva DeCastro | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Felix Nusbaum | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 27.9% |
Samuel Stephens | 8.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
Advik Eswaran | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
Marc Leyk | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Imogene Nuss | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.