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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.26vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+2.59vs Predicted
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3Rollins College3.04+0.98vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.91-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29+1.80vs Predicted
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9Auburn University1.12-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.80-1.21vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.64-1.70vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.59-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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4.59Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.98Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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6.28Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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3.56University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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8.13Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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9.3Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.36Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 39.2% | 26.1% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 17.6% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Danny Levy | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Evans | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 33.9% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 13.9% |
| Michael Todd | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Gregory Bachman | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.