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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+6.68vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.91vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.21+5.36vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.55vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.87vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+1.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77+1.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.98+1.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-8.27vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.20-4.53vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.16-5.30vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.46-7.40vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.36Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.38Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.73Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.47Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 41.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.