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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+9.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+8.94vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.92vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.21+4.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.20+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-2.64vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.84vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77+0.62vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-4.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-5.82vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.46-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-1.07vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-8.71vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.53College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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10.57Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.27Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.44Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 41.5% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.