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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+9.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.21+7.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+5.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.09vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.17vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.98+3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.23vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.20-3.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.80-7.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-5.63vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.88University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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9.36Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.1University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.35Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 44.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.