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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+9.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.93vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.21+5.41vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+5.26vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03+3.12vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.31vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.20+0.80vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-2.54vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.17vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-1.04vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-8.42vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.46-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.26Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.8Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 42.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.