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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.21+8.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+5.58vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03+4.21vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.20+2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-1.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77+1.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-5.74vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.44vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.18vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.46-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-1.05vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-6.05vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.69-9.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.77College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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10.48Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.62Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.39Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.45Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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10.95Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 41.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.