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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.03+8.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+4.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.20vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.32+4.83vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11+0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-1.06vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.70-0.55vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.74vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-2.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.71-0.38vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-1.44vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-8.21vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.15-8.28vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.20-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.2Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.45Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.62Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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15.23Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.6% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.