← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan-0.01+4.95vs Predicted
-
2-0.08+4.06vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.08+3.07vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+0.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas0.41+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.10vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University-0.26-0.31vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93+0.40vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.52vs Predicted
-
10Williams College-0.90-1.04vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.43-6.24vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.79-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95University of Michigan-0.019.1%1st Place
-
6.06-0.088.3%1st Place
-
6.07Princeton University-0.087.8%1st Place
-
4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6018.1%1st Place
-
5.07University of Texas0.4112.3%1st Place
-
7.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.485.5%1st Place
-
6.69Fordham University-0.266.9%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.933.5%1st Place
-
6.48SUNY Maritime College-0.137.0%1st Place
-
8.96Williams College-0.902.8%1st Place
-
4.76Columbia University0.4314.4%1st Place
-
8.11Washington College-0.794.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stephens | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Sam Carson | 18.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Robert Upton | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.2% |
| Luke Barker | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 28.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.