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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+4.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.97vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+4.41vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+3.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+3.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.70+3.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.03+0.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.71+4.90vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.33+1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.93vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32+0.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-4.51vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.64-7.62vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20+0.20vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-2.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-6.98vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.37University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.91Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.9Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
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11.96Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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15.2Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.53George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 18.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 39.6% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.