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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+5.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+4.87vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.70+4.31vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-0.43vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.33+2.00vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-6.65vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.16vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-2.55vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20+0.28vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-6.56vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.32vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.71-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.94Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.28Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.72Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 39.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.