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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+6.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+2.55vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.94vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.41vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-1.13vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.33+0.79vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32+0.09vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-5.43vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.11-5.59vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.70-4.76vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.71-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.34vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.20-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.3Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.57George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.41Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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10.24Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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13.96Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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15.15Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.8% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.