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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+11.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.70+8.71vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.17vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.82+9.37vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+3.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.69vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-0.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-2.17vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-4.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-6.37vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-6.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-8.01vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-0.64vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.33-4.95vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.71-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.03University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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10.71Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.33Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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4.31Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.77Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.11College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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15.36Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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13.82Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.7% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 41.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.