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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.70+8.72vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.32+7.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03+3.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.30vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-0.35vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-1.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-5.41vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-4.37vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-1.36vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.90vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-1.58vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.71-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.72Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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15.42Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.83Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 42.9% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.